Coal’s not well: Steel mills see the margins melting

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Business News›Industry›Ind'l Goods/Svs›Steel›Indian steel mills face margin squeeze as global coking coal prices rise
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Indian steel mills face margin squeeze as global coking coal prices rise
Synopsis
Indian steelmakers face margin pressure from higher coking coal prices. Supply disruptions in Australia and China raise steelmaking costs significantly. These increased costs could delay capacity expansion plans for mills. Higher import demand also contributes to rising transport and freight expenses. Companies are diversifying imports while seeking new supply sources.
ReutersIndian steel mills are facing mounting pressure on margins as higher coking coal prices, driven by supply disruptions in Australia and China and the Iran war, raise steelmaking costs, executives and analysts said.
India, the world's biggest crude steel producer after China, meets 95% of its coking coal needs through imports, with at least half shipped from Australia. Coking coal accounts for nearly 40% of steel production costs.
Squeezed margins could impede investment and delay capacity expansion as Indian steelmakers step up spending to meet buoyant domestic demand driven by infrastructure and strong economic growth.
IMPORT DEMAND GROWS
Coking coal imports are expected to rise by between 2 million and 3 million tons in 2026-27 from 64 million tons a year earlier, commodities consultancy BigMint said.
With the higher demand for imports, comes higher transport costs, partly due to disruptions from the U.S.-Iran war.
"Trade flows have tightened with high demand from India and higher diesel, freight and insurance costs," said Hui Ting Sim, vice president at Moody's Ratings.
Australia is expected to continue meeting at least half of India's coking coal needs, although imports from Russia, Mozambique and the United States are also set to rise.
Discounts on Russian coal, which accounted for 24% of India's coking coal imports in recent years, have diminished over the past two years, Khurmi said.
"Over the longer term, we expect Mozambique to overtake the United States and Russia as the second largest exporter of coking coal to India after Australia," Brooks said, adding that Indian companies such as state-run Steel Authority of India and JSW Steel were turning to Mozambique for supplies.
India has been seeking to diversify its coking coal imports and gain access to Mongolia although experts say this remains difficult because of logistical challenges.
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